Kuyambira July, mitengo ya RMB pamphepete mwa nyanja ndi m'mphepete mwa nyanja ya RMB yotsutsana ndi dola ya US yawonjezeka kwambiri, ndipo inagunda malo okwera kwambiri pa August 5. Pakati pawo, RMB ya pamtunda (CNY) inayamikiridwa ndi 2.3% kuchokera kumalo otsika pa July 24. Ngakhale kuti idagwa pambuyo pa kuphulika kotsatira, kuyambira pa August 20, pa August 20, mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa $ 2. 20, kusinthanitsa kwa RMB yakunyanja motsutsana ndi dollar yaku US kudakweranso kwambiri pa Ogasiti 5, kutsika ndi 2.3% kuchokera pamalo otsika pa Julayi 3.
Kuyang'ana msika wam'tsogolo, kodi mtengo wosinthira wa RMB motsutsana ndi dollar yaku America ukwera m'mwamba? Tikukhulupirira kuti ndalama za RMB zomwe zilipo potengera dollar yaku US ndikungodalira pang'onopang'ono chifukwa cha kuchepa kwachuma cha US komanso kuyembekezera kutsika kwa chiwongola dzanja. Pakuwona kusiyana kwa chiwongola dzanja pakati pa China ndi United States, chiopsezo chakutsika kwambiri kwa RMB chafowoka, koma m'tsogolomu, tiyenera kuwona zizindikiro zambiri zakusintha kwachuma cham'banja, komanso kusintha kwa ntchito zazikulu ndi mapulojekiti apano, mitengo ya RMB isanachitike motsutsana ndi dola yaku US idzalowa m'nyengo yoyamikira. Pakali pano, mtengo wosinthira wa RMB motsutsana ndi dollar yaku US chikuyembekezeka kusinthasintha mbali zonse ziwiri.
Chuma cha US chikucheperachepera, ndipo RMB ikuyamikira mwapang'onopang'ono.
Kuchokera pazomwe zatulutsidwa pazachuma, chuma cha US chawonetsa zizindikiro zodziwikiratu zakufooka, zomwe zidayambitsa nkhawa za msika pakugwa kwachuma kwa US. Komabe, potengera zisonyezo monga kugwiritsa ntchito komanso ntchito zogwirira ntchito, chiwopsezo cha kugwa kwachuma ku US chikadali chochepa kwambiri, ndipo dola yaku US sinakumanepo ndi vuto lazachuma.
Msika wa ntchito watsika, koma sudzagwa. Chiwerengero cha ntchito zatsopano zomwe sizinali zaulimi mu July zinatsika kwambiri mpaka 114,000 mwezi-pa-mwezi, ndipo chiwerengero cha kusowa kwa ntchito chinakwera kufika pa 4.3% kuposa momwe ankayembekezera, zomwe zinayambitsa "Sam Rule" kutsika kwachuma. Ngakhale kuti msika watsika pansi, chiwerengero cha anthu omwe achotsedwa ntchito sichinatsike, makamaka chifukwa chiwerengero cha anthu ogwira ntchito chikuchepa, zomwe zikusonyeza kuti chuma chayamba kuzizira ndipo sichinayambe kugwa.
Njira zogwirira ntchito zamakampani opanga ndi ntchito aku US ndizosiyana. Kumbali imodzi, pali chitsenderezo chachikulu pakuchepa kwa ntchito zopanga. Potengera ndondomeko ya ntchito ya US ISM yopanga PMI, kuyambira pomwe Fed idayamba kukweza chiwongola dzanja koyambirira kwa 2022, index yawonetsa kutsika. Pofika Julayi 2024, index inali 43.4%, kutsika kwa 5.9 peresenti kuchokera mwezi watha. Kumbali inayi, ntchito m'makampani othandizira zimakhalabe zolimba. Kuwona index ya ntchito ya US ISM non-manufacturing PMI, kuyambira Julayi 2024, index inali 51.1%, kukwera ndi 5 peresenti kuchokera mwezi watha.
Poyerekeza ndi kutsika kwachuma kwachuma cha US, index ya dollar yaku US idatsika kwambiri, dola yaku US idatsika kwambiri poyerekeza ndi ndalama zina, ndipo maudindo aatali a hedge funds pa dollar yaku US adatsika kwambiri. Deta yomwe idatulutsidwa ndi CFTC idawonetsa kuti kuyambira sabata ya Ogasiti 13, thumba lalitali la thumba la US dollar linali maere 18,500 okha, ndipo gawo lachinayi la 2023 linali loposa 20,000.
Nthawi yotumiza: Sep-14-2024